A mid-cap share with potential
Independent analyst Alistair Strang reviews a construction company that suffered a series of profit warnings in late 2024.
12th August 2025 09:23
When we review Vistry Group (LSE:VTY)’s share price since 2007, the price has effectively ignored the banking crisis and Covid-19. It has essentially fluttered above and below 866p for 18 years, but failed to do anything to establish a longer-term sense of direction.
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This absurd visual reality suggests a trading bandwidth between 270p and around 1400p, seriously wide and potentially seriously profitable, if the share continues to follow historical behaviour.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Currently, movement above 660p should trigger share price gains in the direction of 739p next with our secondary, if bettered, calculating at 825p. Only with closure above 739 will we dare regard this as being attracted by a long-term third level target at 933p.
However, our alternate scenario, which feels more likely, suggests the danger of weakness below red (presently 508p) triggering reversal down to an eventual 434p with our secondary, if broken, an eventual bottom at 282p. Hopefully, such a secondary level will be followed by a bounce if it appears, presently a strong long position potential.
This one is messy but perhaps worth watching.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea.
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